Bingham
house prices up or Bingham house prices down? ... and if so, by how much? Those
of you who read the Bingham Property Blog will know I am not the sort of person
who pulls punches nor someone who ever fails to give a forthright and straight
talking opinion – so here are my thoughts for the 2,969 Bingham homeowners and
landlords.
The average Bingham
property is 4.3% higher today than it was a year ago, which doesn’t sound a
lot, but when you consider inflation is currently running at -0.1% (ie consumer/retail prices are dropping)
and average salary growth is only around 2.5% pa, this is bad news for first
time buyers as property affordability continues to decrease. (Although I was
reading in The Times the other day that wage inflation (ie salary growth) is showing signs of weakening).
Some
commentators have said the higher stamp duty taxes announced a few weeks ago in
the Autumn Statement for buy to let landlords, concerns over first time buyer affordability
and the outlook of UK interest rate rises in 2016 will really dampen the
property market. I hope you all read my previous article about what the new
stamp duty rule changes would REALLY mean for Bingham landlords in my blog.
I believe
the real issue in the Bingham property market is the shortage of property to
buy, as people either worry there will be no suitable house to move to, or
cannot afford to upgrade. However, on the supply side, Mr Osborne said in his
Autumn Statement that he will change the planning laws to ensure the government
meets the pledge made at the General Election (back in May) of 200,000 new
homes a year. All I can say is .. good
luck George hitting those numbers!
Why? Because houses take years to build .. not months .. so George
and his fabled house building aside .... where does that leave us in Bingham in
2016?
Well, talking of supply ... whilst Mr Osborne builds his
properties (and let’s be honest - a week doesn’t go by without him being filmed
on a building site with a high viz jacket and hard hat building a house here
and there!), let us look at the shortage of properties for sale. Back in November
2011, 117 properties were for sale in Bingham .. today that figure is 43. On
the face of it, this means there is less choice for Bingham buyers – but it
also means with a restricted supply of properties for sale .. it keeps property
prices high for Bingham house sellers.
Everything isn’t all doom and gloom though ... again back in
November 2011, the average property in Bingham took 118 days to find a buyer ..
latest figures state this has dropped to 73 days .. a drop of 38% in how long
it takes to find a buyer. However, when you delve even deeper, the best
performing type of property today in Bingham is the 3 bed, which only takes 53
days to find a buyer (on average) compared to the 1 bed, which takes 144 days. It
just goes to show, even though the average has dropped since 2011, how varied
that change has been!
So, back to the question everyone is asking .... What
will happen to property values in Bingham in 2016? I am going to suggest they will rise between 3%
and 4% ... nothing out of the ordinary, but unless something cataclysmic happens
in the world, 2016 will be like 2015! For more thoughts, opinions and views on
the Bingham property market .. give me a call or pop into see me at our office
in the Market Place.
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